Heat Pump Market Size To Reach $200.65 Billion By 2033

December 2025 | Report Format: Electronic (PDF)

Heat Pump Market Growth & Trends

The global heat pump market size is expected to reach USD 200.65 billion by 2033, registering a CAGR of 10.0% from 2026 to 2033, according to a new report by Grand View Research, Inc. Favorable government policies for energy-efficient solutions and lowered carbon footprint are expected to boost the market growth over the forecast period. In addition, consumer-driven demand for energy-efficient heat pumps to reduce energy consumption and lower operating expenses are expected to benefit the overall market over the forecast period.

The emergence of climate and energy as a political priority has spurred an increased interest in heating and energy efficiency gains to be realized within buildings. Increasing disposable income has led to the growing demand for technologically advanced equipment and comfortable housing solutions, which is further projected to boost the demand for heat pumps. These factors are expected to play a vital role in driving the market growth.

Governments across the globe are becoming increasingly aware of the risks associated with fossil fuels and are adopting environment-friendly options. Furthermore, initiatives like the federal tax credit for new residential heat pumps in the U.S. was extended until the end of 2022. The California Energy Commission passed a new building energy code in August 2021, which encouraged the use of heat pumps for space and water heating in newly constructed buildings. All these aforementioned factors are expected to boost the demand for heat pumps in the coming years.

According to International Energy Agency, heat pumps continue to cover only a small portion of domestic heat demand, while fossil fuel-based solutions accounted for roughly half of the global heating equipment sales in 2020, with the majority of heat pumps being installed in new buildings. However, various factors including regulatory development, enhanced construction requirements favoring heat pumps in new buildings, and rising air conditioning demand are likely to boost the adoption of heat pump technologies in the coming years.

Heat pump players are seeking mergers & acquisitions, partnerships, and investments to develop advanced and innovative solutions. In addition, players are also adopting several strategies such as product launches, research & development, and geographical expansion to increase their market penetration. For instance, in April 2023, Daikin invested USD 327.9 million and expanded its production facility in Poland. This new factory will start the production of the heat pumps and it will cater to various European countries such as Belgium, Germany, and the Czech Republic.

In February 2023, LG introduced an air source heat pump (ASHP) capable of heating 200-270 liters of residential water. The pump has a coefficient of performance (COP) of up to 3.85 and uses R134a as a refrigerant.

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Heat Pump Market Report Highlights

In 2024, the air-source technology segment dominated with a revenue share of over 84.6%. The growth of this segment can be attributed to the benefits such as energy-efficient, low carbon emission, low maintenance, easy installation process, use in space heating and hot water, and high seasonal coefficient of performance.
By application, the residential segment is expected to grow at a considerable CAGR of 10.2% from 2026 to 2033 in terms of revenue. Rapid urbanization coupled with increasing demand for energy-efficient products is expected to drive the demand for heat pumps in the residential sector.
Asia Pacific accounted for 58.0% of the global revenue share in 2025. The rising trend of shifting production bases to emerging economies, mainly China and India, is expected to positively influence the growth of the heat pump industry over the forecast period.
In February 2023, Hitachi introduced the Yutaki M R32 monobloc air-to-water heat pump. Even in sub-zero temperatures, the 4-ton and 3-ton systems have 140°F heating capacity.
In May 2022, Midea launched the EVOX heat pump system. The new product is available in six sizes from 1.5-5 tons. These are capable of 100% heating output at -20°C.

Heat Pump Market Segmentation

Grand View Research has segmented the global heat pump market based on technology, capacity, application, operation, and region:

Heat Pump Technology Outlook (Volume, Thousand Units; Revenue, USD Billion, 2021 - 2033)

Air Source
- Air to Air
- Air to Water
Water Source
Geothermal

Heat Pump Capacity Outlook (Volume, Thousand Units; Revenue, USD Billion, 2021 - 2033)

Up to 10 kW
10 -20 kW
20 -50 kW
50 - 100 kW
100 - 200 kW
200-500KW
500-1000KW
Above 1000 KW

Heat Pump Operation Outlook (Volume, Thousand Units; Revenue, USD Billion, 2021 - 2033)

Electric
Hybrid

Heat Pump Application Outlook (Volume, Thousand Units; Revenue, USD Billion, 2021 - 2033)

Residential
- Up to 10 kW
- 10 -20 kW
- 20 -50 kW
- 50 - 100 kW
- 100 - 200 kW
- 200-500KW
- 500-1000KW
- Above 1000 KW
Industrial
- Upto 10 kW
- 10 -20 kW
- 20 -50 kW
- 50 - 100 kW
- 100 - 200 kW
- 200-500KW
- 500-1000KW
- Above 1000 KW
Commercial
- Up to 10 kW
- 10 -20 kW
- 20 -50 kW
- 50 - 100 kW
- 100 - 200 kW
- 200-500KW
- 500-1000KW
- Above 1000 KW