U.S. HVAC Systems Market To Reach $54.02 Billion By 2033

U.S. HVAC Systems Market Growth & Trends

The U.S. HVAC systems market size is expected to reach USD 54.02 billion by 2033, expanding at a CAGR of 6.9% from 2025 to 2033, according to a new report by Grand View Research, Inc. Diverse and changing climatic conditions across the U.S. remain the prime factor favoring the HVAC equipment demand. Furthermore, to this the U.S. is a large country in terms of a geographic area as such the weather changes from extreme cold to extreme hot throughout the year across states, cities, or coasts, making HVAC installation in residential spaces a mandate. The need to control building temperature irrespective of the outdoor conditions helps the HVAC business thrive in the country. From the supply-side, stringent norms by regulatory bodies in the country to lower power consumption and carbon emission will play a key role in driving the market growth.

Consumers in recent times are becoming aware of severe threats associated with global warming and hence demand energy-efficient products that keep Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions at bay. To further help consumers make informed decisions, the U.S. government offers several tax credit programs that reward consumers who adopt products promoting high energy savings. For this purpose, the Energy Star Program came forth, which essentially aims at giving ratings based on product performance and energy savings. Cut-throat competition in the U.S. market is predominantly because of the strong presence of well-established HVAC vendors in the country.

With strategies to acquire and retain existing customers, several companies in the space are focused on offering cost-effective as well technologically advanced smart products. For instance, innovations in the field of HVAC control systems. Although HVAC is a lucrative market in the U.S., the costs of maintenance and installation have still held the market from reaching its full potential. However, companies are offering discounted repair & maintenance services to attract customers and promote HVAC sales across the country. In addition, government regulations to eliminate the usage of refrigerants, such as R-22 or HCFC-22, in cooling systems are expected to boost the sales of newer systems in the next seven years.

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U.S. HVAC Systems Market Report Highlights

• The heating equipment segment dominated the market in 2024, accounting for 69.2% of the market share, driven by adoption in colder regions such as the Midwest and Northeast.

• The retail stores segment dominated the market in 2024, accounting for 48.1% of the market share, supported by widespread consumer preference for in-person consultation, bundled service packages, and post-purchase support.

• The residential segment dominated the market in 2024, accounting for a 39.8% market share, driven by housing starts, suburban development, and growing consumer interest in smart HVAC upgrades.

U.S. HVAC Systems Market Segmentation

Grand View Research, Inc. has segmented the U.S. HVAC systems market report based on equipment, application, and distribution channel:

U.S. HVAC Systems Equipment Outlook (Revenue, USD Billion, 2021 - 2033)

• Heating

  • Heat Pump

  • Furnace

  • Unitary Heaters

  • Boilers

  • Electric Baseboards

  • Heating Cables

  • Others

• Ventilation

  • Air Purifier

  • Dehumidifier

  • Air Handling Units

  • Ventilation Fans

  • Others

• Cooling

  • Air Conditioning

  • Chillers

  • Cooling Towers

  • Others

U.S. HVAC Systems Application Outlook (Revenue, USD Billion; 2021 - 2033)

• Residential

  • By Equipment

• Commercial

  • By Equipment

• Industrial

  • By Equipment

U.S. HVAC Systems Distribution Channel Outlook (Revenue, USD Billion; 2021 - 2033)

• Online

• Retail Stores

• Wholesale Stores

• Others

List of Key Players in U.S. HVAC Systems Market

• Carrier Corporation

• DAIKIN INDUSTRIES Ltd.

• Fujitsu

• Haier Group

• Panasonic Corporation

• Johnson Controls

• LG Electronics

• Lennox International Inc.

• Trane

• Midea